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Tropical Weather Updates.
Tropical Weather Outlook for the Week of November 2nd
-There are no active tropical cyclones today, and any development is very unlikely over the next 7 days. Defcon ratings are the lowest condition of 5 for all regions. -Due to a strong El Nino event, the 2015 hurricane season recorded well below normal levels of both overall (10TS/3H/2MH) and U.S. landfall (2TS/0H/0MH) activity, an outcome in-line with my preseason forecasts. -The outlook for 2016 is uncertain and dependent on the evolution of ENSO state. However, there is potential for a more active season if a La Nina event develops in the spring as some models suggest. -As less than 3% of the hurricane season remains, this will be the last regularly scheduled outlook issued in 2015.
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect. --Mark Twain
Your At-A-Glance Weather Updates.
IAG Daily Weather Video for November 25, 2015
-This morning, there are no threat level changes as the U.S. remains calm ahead of a storm expected in several days. -The U.S. Southern Plains can the next rainmaker to arrive tomorrow. This feature will bring 2-3" of rain east and some snow and ice to Nebraska, Kansas, and western Oklahoma through Sunday. Some ice accumulations may be heavy, up to 0.5" locally. Defcon 4. -The Mississippi Delta can look for increased rain totals of 2-4", especially west, into early next week, as a disturbance stalls over the region. Defcon 4. -The U.S. Midwest will be cooler than average this week. Rain and limited snow west begin Friday and extend off-and-on into early next week. Defcon 3. -In South America, 1.5-3" of rain will fall during the next week in central and southern Brazil as the greatest storm coverage is centered on Sao Paolo. Defcon 3.